Farashin shinkafa na ƙasashen duniya yana ci gaba da hauhawa, kuma shinkafar China na iya fuskantar kyakkyawar dama ta fitar da ita

A cikin 'yan watannin nan, kasuwar shinkafa ta duniya tana fuskantar gwaji biyu na kariyar ciniki da kuma yanayin El Niño, wanda ya haifar da karuwar farashin shinkafa ta duniya. Hankalin kasuwa ga shinkafa ya zarce na nau'ikan iri kamar alkama da masara. Idan farashin shinkafa ta duniya ya ci gaba da hauhawa, ya zama dole a daidaita tushen hatsi na cikin gida, wanda zai iya sake fasalin tsarin cinikin shinkafar China da kuma samar da kyakkyawar dama ga fitar da shinkafa.

A ranar 20 ga watan Yuli, kasuwar shinkafa ta duniya ta fuskanci babban koma-baya, kuma Indiya ta fitar da sabuwar dokar hana fitar da shinkafa, wadda ta shafi kashi 75% zuwa 80% na fitar da shinkafar Indiya. Kafin wannan, farashin shinkafar duniya ya tashi da kashi 15% zuwa 20% tun daga watan Satumba na 2022.

Bayan haka, farashin shinkafa ya ci gaba da hauhawa, inda farashin shinkafa na Thailand ya tashi da kashi 14%, farashin shinkafa na Vietnam ya tashi da kashi 22%, sannan farashin shinkafar fari na Indiya ya tashi da kashi 12%. A watan Agusta, domin hana masu fitar da shinkafa daga waje karya dokar, Indiya ta sake sanya karin kashi 20% kan fitar da shinkafar da aka dafa da tururi tare da sanya mafi ƙarancin farashin siyarwa ga shinkafar Indiya mai ƙamshi.

Haramcin fitar da shinkafa daga Indiya ya kuma yi tasiri sosai ga kasuwar duniya. Haramcin ba wai kawai ya haifar da haramcin fitar da shinkafa daga Rasha da Hadaddiyar Daular Larabawa ba, har ma ya haifar da fargabar sayen shinkafa a kasuwanni kamar Amurka da Kanada.

A ƙarshen watan Agusta, Myanmar, wacce ita ce ƙasa ta biyar mafi yawan fitar da shinkafa a duniya, ta kuma sanar da dakatar da fitar da shinkafa na tsawon kwanaki 45. A ranar 1 ga Satumba, Philippines ta aiwatar da ƙayyadadden farashi don iyakance farashin shinkafar da ake sayarwa a shaguna. A wani abin da ya fi kyau, a taron ASEAN da aka gudanar a watan Agusta, shugabannin sun yi alƙawarin kiyaye yaɗuwar kayayyakin noma cikin sauƙi da kuma guje wa amfani da shingayen kasuwanci marasa ma'ana.

A lokaci guda kuma, ƙaruwar yanayin El Niño a yankin Pacific na iya haifar da raguwar samar da shinkafa daga manyan masu samar da kayayyaki na Asiya da kuma ƙaruwar farashi mai yawa.

Tare da hauhawar farashin shinkafar ƙasashen duniya, ƙasashe da yawa da ke shigo da shinkafa sun sha wahala sosai kuma dole ne su gabatar da wasu ƙa'idoji na siye. Amma akasin haka, a matsayinsu na manyan masu samar da shinkafa da masu amfani da ita a China, gabaɗayan ayyukan kasuwar shinkafar cikin gida yana da tabbas, tare da ƙimar ci gaba da ta yi ƙasa da ta kasuwar duniya, kuma ba a aiwatar da matakan sarrafawa ba. Idan farashin shinkafar ƙasashen duniya ya ci gaba da tashi a matakin ƙarshe, shinkafar China na iya samun kyakkyawar dama ta fitarwa.